30
Jul
Could China's one-child policy change?
From CNN, by Fareed Zakaria:
“China is going to get old before it gets rich. Right now, only 8.9% of Chinese are over the age of 65. Compare that to the American ratio of about 13%. But come 2050, China’s percentage of elderly people will overtake that of America’s, rising to 26%, which is more than Japan’s right now.
[…] The implications are immense. China’s workforce will shrink - it will no longer be the world’s factory. All those older people will need to be supported - by their families or by the state. And China will likely need to import workers instead of exporting them - and China is not exactly an immigrant-friendly society. Societies with fewer young people become less dynamic, less risk-taking and less adventurous.
There’s one more thing. China’s one-child policy has been especially brutal on women. By one account, there are 123 male children for every 100 females under the age of 4. Imagine what happens when they grow up. Too many men, not enough potential spouses. And remember, countries with male youth bulges have historically seen civil wars and revolutions - from Algeria in the 1970s to the Arab Spring now.”
To read full article, click here.




